Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.168069 0.189527 0.212115 0.237612 0.265538 0.295137 0.328827
2025-04-20 0.140869 0.170047 0.202415 0.240797 0.284874 0.333707 0.391697
2025-04-27 0.123395 0.157954 0.198041 0.247569 0.306686 0.374544 0.457854
2025-05-04 0.107313 0.145018 0.190571 0.248965 0.321076 0.406429 0.514242
2025-05-11 0.096312 0.136689 0.187282 0.254271 0.339472 0.442997 0.576940
2025-05-18 0.087946 0.130569 0.185780 0.261038 0.359288 0.481434 0.642783
2025-05-25 0.077786 0.120846 0.178503 0.259376 0.367666 0.505289 0.690707
2025-06-01 0.069628 0.112939 0.172770 0.258953 0.377068 0.530207 0.740226
2025-06-08 0.062473 0.105672 0.167166 0.258012 0.385270 0.553362 0.787697
2025-06-15 0.058168 0.102138 0.166419 0.263502 0.402097 0.588109 0.851074
2025-06-22 0.052883 0.096550 0.162169 0.263538 0.411053 0.612239 0.900646
2025-06-29 0.048112 0.091281 0.157919 0.263138 0.419094 0.635056 0.948743
2025-07-06 0.043544 0.086021 0.153456 0.262358 0.426830 0.658128 0.998568
2025-07-13 0.040319 0.082692 0.151722 0.265510 0.440292 0.689509 1.060669
2025-07-20 0.038224 0.081111 0.152620 0.272671 0.459854 0.730014 1.136528
2025-07-27 0.035212 0.077574 0.150025 0.274089 0.470664 0.758077 1.195304
2025-08-03 0.033252 0.075767 0.150150 0.279773 0.488072 0.796088 1.269119
2025-08-10 0.031721 0.074617 0.151276 0.287056 0.508103 0.838373 1.349986
2025-08-17 0.028872 0.070594 0.147091 0.285245 0.513655 0.859121 1.399738
2025-08-24 0.026494 0.067254 0.143855 0.284780 0.521191 0.882884 1.454291
2025-08-31 0.024258 0.063960 0.140441 0.283759 0.527667 0.905051 1.506795
2025-09-07 0.023119 0.062882 0.141038 0.289685 0.545594 0.945111 1.586844
2025-09-14 0.021340 0.060205 0.138409 0.289722 0.553693 0.970042 1.644433